OFFPLAN NEWS
(06.07.2007 )
Cheap property in China China property market looking bullish
If shrewd overseas property investment were simply about finding which national economy was booming, then almost every penny would be invested in the Chinese real estate market, writes Paul Beasley.
After all, according to the World Bank, China has the fastest growing economy in the world, with GDP growth at 9.00 per annum over the past 21 years. Foreign Direct Investment, which has increased at 26 per cent a year for the past 14 (source: US-China Business Council), has helped drive the Chinese economy onwards, while incomes in urban areas increasing an average of 8 per cent a year since 1998 (source: Business Week) has been one of the results.
Unsurprisingly, with such an increase in both the prosperity of urban-dwelling Chinese and the number of foreign workers seeking big salaries in the country, property prices have followed the general economy trend, increasing nationwide at 10-40 per cent per annum for the last five years.
However, its world-leading economic growth doesn't make the China property market a law unto itself. As with every other overseas property transaction, only the right property in the right place at the right time will bring financial rewards.
For example, despite massive urbanisation as Chinese peasants flood into the major cities looking for work – a demographic shift that happened in Britain two centuries ago, residential property prices in Shanghai, Beijing and Guangzhou have been a little sluggish of late.
This is why some China property agents are tipping apartment complexes as a better bet in the short to mid term.
Pauline Scrace from International Horizons is one such agent. She believes that apartments in Shanghai currently represent some of the best property investment potential in China.
"Shanghai is the business and trade centre for the country, and has many opportunities for investments for the domestic buyer and international property investment. It has one of the world's major ports and has a large expat community because of its international outlook. Prices for similar apartments in London, Tokyo, New York and Hong Kong can be two-thirds higher."
With plenty of room to grow until they reach a price ceiling, property values in Shanghai have made a fast start: "Luxury apartments in Shanghai have doubled in value since 2003, according to Business Week," Scrace comments.
Certainly, as with any city investment, apartments with a favourable location and close proximity to excellent transport links tend to offer a stronger return. This is why Scrace believes that Dijie International Town, which is only 12 minutes to Pudong International Airport by maglev train and has good amenities nearby, is a solid opportunity. Here, two-bedroom apartments start from £68,000, plus agency fees.
But, as Scrace would agree, price rises are obviously subject to national and international factors and, like all emerging markets, there are no guarantees no matter how bullish you feel about your chances of making a sizable profit.
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